Sure it is... natural variations allows for extreme changes on planet earth.... its happened before and will happen again and again... do you really think you can change it?
If you are attempting a Northwest Passage you had better know several techniques to deal with change and avoiding the dangers associated with navigating near, around and through sea ice as a primary knowledge for Arctic survival.
What did explorer Roald Amundsen say about adventure?
― Roald Amundsen
1. HALIFAX HARBOR, NOVA SCOTIA – In Halifax by June 15. Proceed through Great Bras d’Or Channel towards the west coast of Newfoundland.2. LARKS HARBOR or WOODS ISLAND HARBOR at the BAY OF ISLANDS, NEWFOUNDLAND – July 1. Proceed through the Strait of Belle Isle to the Labrador eastern coast.
3. BATLE HARBOR, HAWKE HARBOR, ST. ANTHONY or SANDWICH BAY, LABRADOR –July 7. Proceed to Greenland, or Resolution Island if ice free.
4. SISIMIUT and then to UPERNAVIK, GREENLAND – July 15 to Aug 1. Both are refueling stops. Proceed over the northern tip of Baffin Island. Pack Ice will be along the north coast of Baffin Island; so routing takes us up, over, and then into Lancaster Sound.
5. RESOLUTION HARBOR, RESOLUTION ISLAND – July 15. If Ice free, this could be a harbor of refuge, depending on weather conditions. Proceed on to Greenland ASAP.
6. LANCASTER SOUND – 1ST week in August. Here we must decide to go south or north of Victoria Island. The most probable route is to the south, initially following the route the Franklin Expedition took. (West of Summerset Island Prince Rupert Channel South, then South of King William Island - Peel Sound to Franklin Straight to James Ross to St. Roche Basin To Ryy Basin to Simpson to Queen Maud)
7. RESOLUTE BAY – 2nd week in August. This would be a stopover only if ice impedes us from going on to Gjoa Haven.8. GJOA HAVEN – August 15. Proceed through Victoria Strait towards the Beaufort Sea. Potential stops: Cambridge Bay if ice impeding the Strait, Tuktoyaktuk (600 nautical miles from Cambridge Bay and possible refueling stop) and Barrow (1100 nms from Cambridge Bay).
9. BARROW, AK – September 1 thru 15. Alternative refueling stop - no dock - must carry fuel jugs. From Point Barrow we plan to proceed to Dutch Harbor, Unalaska Island, AK. Possible stops are Port of Nome, Nunivak Island, and St. Paul Island if weather dictates hiding or hopping. The Bering Sea can be extremely dangerous in the Fall.
10. DUTCH HARBOR, UNALASKA ISLAND, AK – September 15 thru 30. Refueling Stop. Proceed to Kodiak, AK. Then wait for a weather window to cross the Gulf of Alaska to Southeast Alaska - enter at Cape Spencer. Prepare for alternative stops as required at Sitka, Juneau, Petersburg or Ketchikan AK.11. SOUTHEAST ALASKA – October 7. Top off fuel, Proceed down Inside Passage of SE Alaska/British Columbia to Vancouver/Seattle.
FINAL DESTINATION: SEATTLE, WA - October 31, 2009 (~5 month voyage)
2000 gallons diesel.
1 Lugger 310 hp main diesel engine w/ 75 hp "get-home" diesel engine.
Video url: http://youtu.be/2VaTpSPNreM
Have you heard many of these words before?
"The aim of the trip is to not only travel to and through The Passage and document it, but to meet the denizens of the area, find out about their lives above the Arctic Circle, try and learn how the recent climatic changes have effected their lives, what they noticed, if anything. I want to learn what their feelings are about what may become of their home, their pristine ecology, and their livelihoods if and when shipping and exploration make themselves known. I'd also like to follow the route The Franklin Expedition took and try to convey through the moving image how it is that such a large expedition can simply vanish. When Franklin and his mean set out for The Passage it was that century's equivalent to one of the first moon shots for us. To this day those waters are for the most part uncharted and transiting them will present very obvious and present dangers, yet we have electronics that can guide us from the heavens and see what waits beneath.
With Forward Looking Sonar we can see 200 ahead of us and make a navigational decision before calamity. Franklin and his men and those who followed, had none of this. They were true heroes & and they had backing. Our route is to leave Newport, RI, for Halifax, Upernuvik Greenland, enter Lancaster Sound, go down Peel Sound to King William Island, head out through the Bering Sea, cut through the Aleutians, Alaska and get into Seattle the end of October".
Why you do not want your boat rescued in the Arctic ice (video):
Is there more or less ice in the Arctic?
Is the Arctic in a positive or negative oscillation? Checkout this reference:
Are you thinking about a Northwest Passage? Checkout these planning resources:
What are the likelihood that the NWP northern route is open or blocked?