20130614 Update:
FZAK80 PAFC 130210
ICEAFC
SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
600 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY JUNE 12 2013
FORECAST VALID...MONDAY JUNE 17 2013
ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...HIGH.
SYNOPSIS...A WEAK LOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA
THROUGH MONDAY. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA TO BANKS ISLAND OVER THE WEEKEND.
-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
ICE COVERED.
-BERING SEA-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ185-ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
PKZ180-SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT-
THE ICE EDGE LIES FROM KUSKOKWIM BAY TO EASTERN NUNIVAK ISLAND THEN FROM NORTHERN NUNIVAK TO 62.4N 168.2W TO 62N 171.1W TO 63N 174.4W TO 64.3N 174.1W TO 64.7N 178.4W TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE GULF OF ANADYR. THE ICE EDGE IS OPEN WATER.
2 TO 4 TENTHS NEW...YOUNG AND FIRST YEAR THIN ICE LIES AROUND SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. THE AREA OF ICE IS APPROXIMATELY 80 NM NORTH TO SOUTH AND 170 NM EAST TO WEST. SHALLOW WATER AREAS SOUTH OF KWIKPAK ARE MOSTLY ICE FREE.
FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY...ICE WILL DIMINISH ALONG THE COAST OF NORTON SOUND AND SOUTH TO HOOPER BAY. ICE MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE WEST 10 TO 30 NM. SEASONAL ICE MELT WILL CONTINUE AND WATERS SOUTH OF SCAMMON BAY WILL BE ICE FREE BY MONDAY.
KCOLE 2013
$$
http://lowbandwidth.arh.noaa.
FZAK80 PAFC 110221
ICEAFC
SEA ICE ADVISORY FOR WESTERN AND ARCTIC ALASKAN COASTAL WATERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
620 PM AKDT MONDAY JUNE 10 2013
...SUMMER ICE OUTLOOK FOLLOWS THE SEA ICE ADVISORY...
FORECAST VALID...SATURDAY JUNE 15 2013
ANALYSIS CONFIDENCE...MODERATE TO HIGH.
SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OFF THE ALASKA WEST COAST
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
BERING SEA WEDNESDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY.
-ARCTIC OCEAN-
-BEAUFORT SEA-
-CHUKCHI SEA-
PKZ245-FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
PKZ240-CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
PKZ235-POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
PKZ230-CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
PKZ225-CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
PKZ220-WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
PKZ215-KOTZEBUE SOUND-
ICE COVERED.
SHOREFAST ICE IS DIMINISHING RAPIDLY ALONG THE CHUKCHI COAST WITH
MELT PONDS FORMING AND SURFACE FLOODING OCCURRING NEAR RIVER DELTAS.
-BERING SEA-
PKZ210-DALL POINT TO WALES-
PKZ200-NORTON SOUND-
PKZ185-ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
PKZ180-SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT-
THE ICE EDGE LIES FROM KUSKOKWIM BAY TO SOUTHEAST NUNIVAK ISLAND THEN
FROM WESTERN NUNIVAK TO 60.7N 170.1W TO 59.8N 170.8W TO 60.1N 175.4W
TO 63.6N 174W TO 64.8N 177.2W TO THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE GULF OF
ANADYR. THE ICE EDGE IS OPEN WATER.
4 TO 6 TENTHS NEW...YOUNG AND FIRST YEAR THIN ICE LIES 30 TO 60 NM
OFF THE COAST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. OPEN WATER EXTENDS UP THE
ALASKA WEST COAST TO SCAMMON BAY. SHALLOW AREAS FROM SCAMMON BAY TO
THE YUKON DELTA ARE ICE FREE EXCEPT FOR RIVER ICE. MOST OF THE ICE
AREA IN NORTON SOUND IS NEW ICE WITH ISOLATED AREAS OF LARGER FLOES.
FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY...WEAK ON SHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.
THE ICE WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 NM EACH DAY WEDNESDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. THE NET ICE MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE NORTHWEST 20 TO
30 NM. SEASONAL ICE MELT WILL INCREASE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
KCOLE 2013
$$
...2013 SUMMER ICE OUTLOOK...
...BERING SEA EVENT... ...OUTLOOK DATE...
ETOLIN STRAIT TO SCAMMON BAY COASTAL WATERS JUNE 5 TO 10
TO 10 FATHOMS LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE
ETOLIN STRAIT TO SCAMMON BAY COASTAL WATERS JUNE 10 TO 15
TO 10 FATHOMS ICE FREE
YUKON DELTA TO KWIKPAK COASTAL WATERS TO JUNE 10 TO 15
10 FATHOMS LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE
YUKON DELTA TO KWIKPAK COASTAL WATERS TO JUNE 15 TO 20
10 FATHOMS ICE FREE
KWIKPAK TO UNALAKLEET COASTAL WATERS TO JUNE 15 TO 20
10 FATHOMS LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE
KWIKPAK TO UNALAKLEET COASTAL WATERS TO JUNE 20 TO 25
10 FATHOMS ICE FREE
NORTON SOUND LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE JUNE 15 TO 20
NORTON SOUND ICE FREE JUNE 25 TO 30
NORTON BAY ICE FREE JUNE 15 TO 20
GOLOVIN ICE FREE JUNE 10 TO 15
NOME ICE FREE JUNE 8 TO 13
PORT CLARENCE ICE FREE JUNE 20 TO 25
BERING STRAIT ICE FREE JUNE 20 TO 25
BERING SEA ICE FREE JULY 5 TO 10
...CHUKCHI SEA EVENT... ...OUTLOOK DATE...
NORTH NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ220 JULY 5 TO 10
OPEN TO 10 FATHOMS
KIVALINA AREA
SOUTH NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ220 JULY 10 TO 15
OPEN TO 10 FATHOMS
WALES/SHISHMAREF AREA
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ225 JULY 1 TO 5
OPEN TO 10 FATHOMS
POINT HOPE/CAPE LISBURNE
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ230 JULY 15 TO 20
OPEN TO 10 FATHOMS
POINT LAY/ICY CAPE/WAINWRIGHT
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ235 CHUKCHI SEA ONLY JULY 10 TO 15
OPEN TO 10 FATHOMS
BARROW
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ215 LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE JULY 5 TO 10
KOTZEBUE SOUND
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ215 ICE FREE JULY 10 TO 15
KOTZEBUE SOUND
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ220 LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE JULY 1 TO 5
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ220 ICE FREE JULY 10 TO 15
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ225 LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE JULY 1 TO 5
POINT HOPE/CAPE LISBURNE
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ225 ICE FREE JULY 8 TO 13
POINT HOPE/CAPE LISBURNE
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ230 LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE JULY 15 TO 20
POINT LAY/ICY CAPE/WAINWRIGHT
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ230 ICE FREE JULY 25 TO 30
POINT LAY/ICY CAPE/WAINWRIGHT
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ235 CHUKCHI SEA ONLY AUGUST 5 TO 10
LESS THAN 3 TENTHS ICE
BARROW
NWS MARINE ZONE PKZ235 CHUKCHI SEA ONLY AUGUST 15 TO 20
ICE FREE
BARROW
NWS ARCTIC OFFSHORE CHUKCHI SEA AUGUST 10 TO 15
LESS THAN 3 TENTH ICE
NWS ARCTIC OFFSHORE CHUKCHI SEA SEPTEMBER 5 TO 10
ICE FREE
EVENT OUTLOOK DATES ARE BASED ON CURRENT ICE AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
AND NOAA/NWS WEATHER OUTLOOKS. AREAS FOR NWS MARINE ZONE NUMBERS CAN
BE FOUND ON THE NWS ALASKA WEB SITES. THIS ICE OUTLOOK WILL BE
UPDATED IN EARLY JULY.
KCOLE JUNE 2013
$$
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