Thinking of a NW Passage - US Navy predicts summer ice-free Arctic in 3 years if you trust Government

US Navy predicts summer ice-free Arctic in 3 years

The 2013 summer minimum in Arctic sea ice extent was 6 million square kilometers, 50% higher than the minimum in 2012, and Arctic sea ice has been within 1 standard deviation of the 1979-2000 mean throughout most of 2013. 

Based on this trend, according to The Guardian, the US Navy has predicted the Arctic will be summer ice free in 3 years.

US Navy predicts summer ice free Arctic by 2016

Is conventional modelling out of pace with speed and abruptness of global warming?

[such as no statistically-significant global warming for the past 20 years?]

http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2013/12/us-navy-predicts-summer-ice-free-arctic.html

Global monthly temperature anomaly
 

Antarctic sea ice anomaly

 

Arctic sea ice anomaly

 

Global sea ice

 

Global sea ice anomaly

 

Solar activity Ap index

 

Sunspot area

 

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